Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4331
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 4331 · MAF → DAL
departs 5:45 PM CT · arrives 7:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±6 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
MAF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.70 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.