Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4340
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 4340 · PHX → DAL
departs 3:07 PM MT · arrives 7:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
73%
chance · ±6 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
73%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
33%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from PHX are often late
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.76 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,167 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.