Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 435
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 435 · MAF → AUS
departs 1:54 PM CT · arrives 3:11 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 467 ft forecast at AUS that day
↓
1pm departures from MAF are usually not late
↓
MAF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.53 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.