Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4379 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

WN 4379 · BHM → HOU

departs 10:58 AM CT · arrives 12:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BHM is prone to delays

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

Weather at each end

BHM (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4379 · BHM → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?