Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4427
SCHEDULED
Friday, October 30 Today
WN 4427 · LAS → BNA
departs 6:02 PM PT · arrives 11:35 PM CT
Your aircraft is N8929S (B38M), coming in as WN 3812 from SJC: in the air, landing about 6:48 PM PT, 52 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/31 45%
Mon 11/2 37%
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 22%
Thu 11/5 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+53 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
98%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 118 min after the scheduled departure, about 103 min late from the gate after a typical 15-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 99%.
+53 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 118 min after the scheduled departure, about 103 min late from the gate after a typical 15-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 100%.
+49 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 118 min after the scheduled departure, about 103 min late from the gate after a typical 15-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 97%.
+79 pts
98%
Yes 98%
No 2%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
50%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
41%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
6pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at LAS that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.