Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4443
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 4443 · ALB → LAS
departs 4:24 PM ET · arrives 6:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±11 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
ALB usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB
Weather at each end
ALB (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.