WN 4524 · DEN → BOS

departs 5:11 PM MT · arrives 11:04 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8991S (B38M), coming in as WN 2624 from MCI: landed 4:16 PM MT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4524 · DEN → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?