Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4635
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 4635 · DAL → LBB
departs 9:11 AM CT · arrives 10:32 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 11%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at LBB that day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Arrivals into LBB at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 5,433 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
LBB (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.68 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.