Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 468
SCHEDULED
Friday, October 30 Today
WN 468 · SAN → OAK
departs 4:19 PM PT · arrives 5:57 PM PT
Your aircraft is N449WN (B737), coming in as WN 3669 from SJC: in the air, landing about 5:04 PM PT, 49 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/2 36%
Tue 11/3 32%
Wed 11/4 23%
Thu 11/5 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+40 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
92%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 106 min after the scheduled departure, about 88 min late from the gate after a typical 18-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 78%.
+40 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 106 min after the scheduled departure, about 88 min late from the gate after a typical 18-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 73%.
+23 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 106 min after the scheduled departure, about 88 min late from the gate after a typical 18-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 35%.
+22 pts
92%
Yes 92%
No 8%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
48%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.10 in
OAK (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.