Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4694
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 4694 · LAX → HOU
departs 2:31 PM PT · arrives 7:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 45%
Tue 11/3 42%
Wed 11/4 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.