Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4697
SCHEDULED
Friday, October 30 Today
WN 4697 · MDW → CLE
departs 6:47 PM CT · arrives 9:12 PM ET
Your aircraft is N8653A (B738), coming in as WN 4705 from MKE: still at MKE, due off about 6:44 PM CT, 22 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 23%
Wed 11/4 25%
Thu 11/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
85%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 94 min after the scheduled departure, about 81 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 30%.
+4 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 94 min after the scheduled departure, about 81 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 45%.
+7 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 94 min after the scheduled departure, about 81 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 6%.
+0 pts
85%
Yes 85%
No 15%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.