WN 4723 · STS → LAS

departs 3:08 PM PT · arrives 4:52 PM PT

Your aircraft is N288WN (B737), coming in as WN 3540 from BUR: landed 2:14 PM PT.

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +49 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
55%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STS

↓ STS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4723 · STS → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?