Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4753
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 4753 · LBB → HOU
departs 12:13 PM CT · arrives 1:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Thu 10/29 14%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 19%
Tue 11/3 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at LBB that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
LBB usually runs smoothly
↓
12pm departures from LBB are usually not late
Weather at each end
LBB (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.68 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 8,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.