Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4760
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 4760 · OKC → HOU
departs 12:51 PM CT · arrives 2:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 11%
Mon 11/2 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.41 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.