WN 4926 · HOU → MAF

departs 5:56 PM CT · arrives 7:32 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8783L (B38M), coming in as WN 306 from CUN: landed 4:27 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

96% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MAF?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MAF that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ HOU usually runs smoothly

↓ MAF is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip0.22 in

MAF (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip1.52 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4926 · HOU → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?