WN 4938 · DEN → SLC

left the gate 3:54 PM MT · taxiing (scheduled 3:31 PM MT → 4:59 PM MT)

Your aircraft is N8577Z (B738), coming in as WN 1703 from FAT: landed 2:51 PM MT.

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4938 · DEN → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?