Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5100
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Yesterday
WN 5100 · DAL → BHM
departs 5:54 PM CT · arrives 7:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 8,143 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
BHM (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.