Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 532
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 532 · AUS → SEA
departs 3:40 PM CT · arrives 5:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.14 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.