Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 557
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 557 · IND → SRQ
departs 2:48 PM ET · arrives 5:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SRQ at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.02 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.