WN 696 · BNA → RDU

departs 5:17 PM CT · arrives 7:58 PM ET

Your aircraft is N486WN (B737), coming in as WN 2951 from ABQ: in the air, landing about 4:25 PM CT, 44 min before departure.

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 696 · BNA → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?