WN 702 · BNA → RSW

took off 9:14 PM CT · landed 11:51 PM ET (scheduled 7:08 PM CT → 10:15 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RSW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at RSW that day

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 702 · BNA → RSW

Odds over time

How late did it get to RSW?