WN 814 · BNA → LAS

took off 8:56 PM CT · expected to land 10:22 PM PT (scheduled 6:48 PM CT → 8:57 PM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
100%
Over 2 hours late
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 814 · BNA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?