WN 846 · MCO → PIT

departs 6:46 PM ET · arrives 9:17 PM ET

Your aircraft is N294WN (B737), coming in as WN 2541 from BWI: landed 4:52 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at MCO that day

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 846 · MCO → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?