Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 9001
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 9001 · OAK → AUS
departs 12:09 PM PT · arrives 5:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±3 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 467 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.