WN 9005 · PHX → DEN

took off 6:26 PM MT · landed 8:46 PM MT (scheduled 4:31 PM MT → 7:21 PM MT)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day

↑ 4pm departures from PHX are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.16 in

DEN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 9005 · PHX → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?