WS 1099 · PHX → YEG

departs 10:21 AM MT · arrives 2:48 PM MDT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at YEG more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YEG?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at PHX that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YEG

↓ YEG usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into YEG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.82 in

YEG (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1099 · PHX → YEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to YEG?