Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1163
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WS 1163 · PHX → YYC
departs 1:22 PM MT · arrives 5:18 PM MDT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Wed 10/28 25%
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at YYC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YYC?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
1pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
YYC usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into YYC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.46 in
YYC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.