WS 1421 · LAX → YEG

departs 7:31 PM PT · arrives 11:52 PM MDT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at YEG more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YEG?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ YEG usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into YEG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

YEG (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1421 · LAX → YEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to YEG?