WS 1473 · LAS → YEG

departs 8:01 PM PT · arrives 12:12 AM MDT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at YEG more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YEG?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into YEG at that hour are usually not late

↓ YEG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

YEG (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1473 · LAS → YEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to YEG?