WS 1741 · PHX → YVR

departs 12:54 PM MT · arrives 4:13 PM PDT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YVR?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at PHX that day

↑ 12pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ YVR usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into YVR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.82 in

YVR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1741 · PHX → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?