tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 3996 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YV 3996 · TUL → IAH

departs 5:05 PM CT · arrives 6:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.