Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 6177 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

YV 6177 · IAH → LFT

departs 2:28 PM CT · arrives 3:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at LFT more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LFT?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ LFT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LFT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6177 · IAH → LFT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LFT?