tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3531 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:35 AM ET, ETA 1:01 PM ADT)
Today

YX 3531 · EWR → YHZ

took off 10:35 AM ET · expected to land 1:01 PM ADT (scheduled 10:13 AM ET → 1:20 PM ADT)
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at YHZ more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YHZ?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.