Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4685 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:25 AM CT, ETA 10:55 AM ET)
Today

YX 4685 · ORD → JFK

took off 8:25 AM CT · expected to land 10:55 AM ET (scheduled 7:58 AM CT → 11:16 AM ET)
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.