tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5757 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YX 5757 · GSO → LGA

departs 2:53 PM ET · arrives 4:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±11 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.