Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 5819 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 31 Today

9K 5819 · BIL → GDV

departs 10:31 AM MT · arrives 11:40 AM MT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at GDV more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BIL that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ 10am departures from BIL are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into GDV at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BIL (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.02 in

GDV (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 5819 · BIL → GDV

Odds over time