Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 86 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 31 Today

9K 86 · BOS → LEB

departs 8:54 AM ET · arrives 9:40 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at LEB more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Arrivals into LEB at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LEB (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 86 · BOS → LEB

Odds over time