tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1014 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1014 · TUS → DFW

departs 9:30 AM MT · arrives 1:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±5 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.