tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1111 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1111 · DFW → YYZ

departs 1:17 PM CT · arrives 5:31 PM EDT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
45% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYZ?

  1. On time or early
    54%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    11%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.