tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1309 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1309 · PVR → ORD

departs 12:50 PM CST · arrives 5:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
56% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    44%
  2. 15–30 min late
    32%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.