AA 1313 · BNA → DFW

departs 6:04 PM CT · arrives 8:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1313 · BNA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?