tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1315 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1315 · ORD → JFK

departs 4:30 PM CT · arrives 7:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    50%
  2. 15–30 min late
    23%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.