Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1371 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Today

AA 1371 · DFW → DSM

departs 9:07 PM CT · arrives 11:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 44% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DSM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

DSM (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1371 · DFW → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?