tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1449 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1449 · JAC → ORD

departs 1:39 PM MT · arrives 5:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    18%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.