tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1510 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 1510 · ORD → RDU

departs 6:31 PM CT · arrives 9:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
56% chance · ±9 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.8d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    44%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    23%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    12%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.