Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1573 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

AA 1573 · DFW → ORD

departs 5:53 PM CT · arrives 8:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±6 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

ORD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1573 · DFW → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?