AA 1607 · DFW → ELP

departs 7:57 PM CT · arrives 8:53 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±4 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 44% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

ELP (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1607 · DFW → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?