Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1797 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

AA 1797 · DFW → LAS

departs 8:12 PM CT · arrives 9:20 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±6 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.18 in

LAS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1797 · DFW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?