tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1862 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 1862 · PHX → SAN

departs 5:10 PM MT · arrives 6:38 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.8d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    13%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.