Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1865SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1865 · SJU → ORD
departs 2:57 PM AT · arrives 7:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
28%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.